Serie A — Italy
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 17:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.23) 1.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.1% 22.1% 54.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Udinese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 4.7% 9.0% 8.7% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaUdinese
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack56%44%
Defense0%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Udinese
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins0%0%0%38%43%40%
Draws29%50%40%25%14%20%
Loses71%50%60%38%43%40%

Form: Fiorentina: DDLLDLLDLLDDLLL • Udinese: DWWLLDDWLWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Udinese
HATHAT
GF total75128816
GF avg1.00.60.81.01.11.1
GA total131326121022
GA avg1.91.61.71.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaUdinese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%87%80%73%
1.513%67%20%47%
2.50%20%7%27%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaUdinese
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score145213

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaUdinese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaUdinese
Wins02
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-20-2
Biggest losses1-33-00-33-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaUdinese
Form25%75%
Att56%44%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total48.7%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Udinese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ 1xBet
Away3.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Unibet
No1.96 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 1.14 (league 1.23), Udinese = 1.92 (league 1.09)

Udinese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 4.7% 9.0% 8.7% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 54.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1