1. Division — Cyprus
Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 17:00 • Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.50) 1.11 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 28.9% 35.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Apoel Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.8% 7.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPafosApoel Nicosia
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack38%69%
Defense38%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pafos Apoel Nicosia
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins78%50%63%50%56%53%
Draws0%10%5%30%33%32%
Loses22%40%32%20%11%16%

Form: Pafos: WLWWWWWLWDWWWWLWLLL • Apoel Nicosia: WLWWWWDDWDLDWDWWLDW

League goals

Metric Pafos Apoel Nicosia
HATHAT
GF total191635171936
GF avg2.11.61.81.72.11.9
GA total513188715
GA avg0.61.30.90.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePafosApoel Nicosia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%58%89%58%
1.553%37%63%21%
2.526%0%21%0%
3.516%0%16%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPafosApoel Nicosia
HATHAT
Clean sheets538448
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricPafosApoel Nicosia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricPafosApoel Nicosia
Wins54
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-44-10-4
Biggest losses1-22-01-22-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricPafosApoel Nicosia
Form23%77%
Att36%64%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total44.8%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Apoel Nicosia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ SBO
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away3.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pafos = 1.12 (league 1.50), Apoel Nicosia = 1.11 (league 1.13)

Apoel Nicosia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pafos 0 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.8% 7.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 35.2%

vtt 11 , vtd1