La Liga — Spain
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.45) 0.53 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.6% 28.4% 14.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.6%
0 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 15.3% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 11.0% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricElcheRayo Vallecano
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack64%9%
Defense36%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Elche Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Played88167916
Wins50%0%25%14%33%25%
Draws50%38%44%71%11%38%
Loses0%63%31%14%56%38%

Form: Elche: DDWDWDWLDLLDDLWL • Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLDDDLD

League goals

Metric Elche Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
GF total127194913
GF avg1.50.91.20.61.00.8
GA total5152041216
GA avg0.61.91.30.61.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineElcheRayo Vallecano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%75%50%63%
1.531%31%19%19%
2.56%19%13%13%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricElcheRayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Clean sheets404336
Failed to score123358

Penalties

MetricElcheRayo Vallecano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricElcheRayo Vallecano
Wins13
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—1-00-3
Biggest losses—3-10-14-0
Goals For3213
Goals Against2314

Model comparison

MetricElcheRayo Vallecano
Form56%44%
Att88%13%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h40%60%
Goals53%47%
Total55.0%45.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Elche or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.19 @ 1xBet
Away3.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Elche = 1.34 (league 1.45), Rayo Vallecano = 0.53 (league 1.13)

Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 15.3% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 11.0% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 14.7%

Vtot 18 , Vtod10