Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Capozza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.55) 0.49 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 34.9% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.5%
0 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Team Altamura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 22.3% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.5% 11.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasaranoTeam Altamura
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack40%33%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casarano Team Altamura
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%33%39%22%22%22%
Draws33%11%22%44%44%44%
Loses22%56%39%33%33%33%

Form: Casarano: DLWWWDDWWLLLLWWLDL • Team Altamura: LLWDDDDDLWWDLLDLWD

League goals

Metric Casarano Team Altamura
HATHAT
GF total12162812517
GF avg1.31.81.61.30.60.9
GA total82432151126
GA avg0.92.71.81.71.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasaranoTeam Altamura
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%72%78%
1.544%50%17%39%
2.528%33%6%17%
3.50%17%0%11%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasaranoTeam Altamura
HATHAT
Clean sheets516044
Failed to score213145

Penalties

MetricCasaranoTeam Altamura
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCasaranoTeam Altamura
Wins32
Draws25
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-10-1
Biggest losses1-36-20-44-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against3644

Model comparison

MetricCasaranoTeam Altamura
Form58%42%
Att55%45%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Casarano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casarano = 1.01 (league 1.55), Team Altamura = 0.49 (league 1.09)

Team Altamura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casarano 0 22.3% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.5% 11.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 17.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1