Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.37) 1.18 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 28.3% 37.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente del Valle 0 10.0% 11.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente del ValleBarcelona SC
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack23%62%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente del Valle Barcelona SC
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins42%70%56%40%58%49%
Draws47%20%33%30%21%26%
Loses11%10%10%30%21%26%

Form: Independiente del Valle: LDDWDWWWWWLWWWDDDWDWWWWDWWWWDDWWWLDLDDW • Barcelona SC: WWWLWWLWWWDWDLLLWDDDWLWWLWLWWDLLWDWDDDW

League goals

Metric Independiente del Valle Barcelona SC
HATHAT
GF total273966243256
GF avg1.42.01.71.21.71.4
GA total141630252146
GA avg0.70.80.81.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente del ValleBarcelona SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%64%82%64%
1.551%13%38%33%
2.526%0%13%18%
3.58%0%8%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente del ValleBarcelona SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets77147714
Failed to score426527

Penalties

MetricIndependiente del ValleBarcelona SC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total49

Streaks

MetricIndependiente del ValleBarcelona SC
Wins53
Draws33
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-42-00-5
Biggest losses0-22-00-43-0
Goals For4435
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente del ValleBarcelona SC
Form40%60%
Att27%73%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h71%29%
Goals77%23%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Independiente del Valle or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente del Valle = 1.12 (league 1.37), Barcelona SC = 1.18 (league 1.01)

Barcelona SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente del Valle 0 10.0% 11.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 37.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1