Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 12:30 • St. James' Park
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.55) 1.90 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 22.4% 53.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 4.7% 8.9% 8.4% 5.3% 2.5% 1.0%
1 5.5% 10.3% 9.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.2% 6.0% 5.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastleChelsea
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack53%32%
Defense68%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Chelsea
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%13%38%50%50%50%
Draws13%38%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%50%38%25%25%25%

Form: Newcastle: DLDWDLWLWLLWWDWL • Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDW

League goals

Metric Newcastle Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total14721121527
GF avg1.80.91.31.51.91.7
GA total1010207815
GA avg1.31.31.30.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastleChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%88%50%
1.544%38%50%31%
2.56%19%19%13%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastleChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets235448
Failed to score044112

Penalties

MetricNewcastleChelsea
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNewcastleChelsea
Wins23
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-01-5
Biggest losses2-33-11-33-1
Goals For2435
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricNewcastleChelsea
Form56%44%
Att63%38%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 1xBet
Away2.64 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 1.16 (league 1.55), Chelsea = 1.90 (league 1.30)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 4.7% 8.9% 8.4% 5.3% 2.5% 1.0%
1 5.5% 10.3% 9.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.2% 6.0% 5.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 53.2%

Vtot 25 , Vtod10