Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 13:00 •
Umuganda Stadium
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.12)
0.52 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1% | 57.7% | 39.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
56.1%
0 - 1
29.4%
0 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Etincelles | 0 | 56.1% | 29.4% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Etincelles | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 70% | 40% |
| Defense | 0% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
39%
FT probability
2.5+
27%
FT probability
3.5+
19%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Etincelles | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 8% | 71% | 40% | 58% |
| Draws | 67% | 50% | 58% | 29% | 60% | 42% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Etincelles: DLDDDDDDLLWL • Police: WWWWWDDWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Etincelles | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Etincelles | Police | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 75% | 42% |
| 1.5 | 8% | 33% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Etincelles | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Etincelles | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Etincelles | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Etincelles | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 11% | 89% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Etincelles or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Etincelles = 0.05 (league 1.12), Police = 0.52 (league 0.92)
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Etincelles | 0 | 56.1% | 29.4% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.1% · Draw 57.7% · Away win 39.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1