Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Arechi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.55) 0.73 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 22.4% 14.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Foggia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 7.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.3% 10.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.8% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalernitanaFoggia
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack47%47%
Defense40%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salernitana Foggia
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%56%56%33%11%22%
Draws33%22%28%33%33%33%
Loses11%22%17%33%56%44%

Form: Salernitana: WWWWWLDWWLWDDWDLDW • Foggia: LWLDDDLDLWLLLDLWDW

League goals

Metric Salernitana Foggia
HATHAT
GF total1312257714
GF avg1.41.31.40.80.80.8
GA total91322111829
GA avg1.01.41.21.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalernitanaFoggia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%72%56%78%
1.550%28%22%39%
2.56%11%0%28%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalernitanaFoggia
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score123448

Penalties

MetricSalernitanaFoggia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSalernitanaFoggia
Wins51
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-22-10-2
Biggest losses2-35-10-36-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3536

Model comparison

MetricSalernitanaFoggia
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h25%75%
Goals22%78%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Foggia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Unibet
Draw5.74 @ 1xBet
Away11.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.51 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salernitana = 1.81 (league 1.55), Foggia = 0.73 (league 1.09)

Foggia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salernitana 0 7.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.3% 10.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.8% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 14.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1