Serie B — Italy
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:00 • Brianteo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.44) 0.64 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.3% 22.0% 12.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 8.7% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 10.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonzaCarrarese
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack38%38%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monza Carrarese
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins75%38%56%38%13%25%
Draws13%38%25%38%50%44%
Loses13%25%19%25%38%31%

Form: Monza: WDLWLDWWWWWWWDDL • Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Monza Carrarese
HATHAT
GF total101121121123
GF avg1.31.41.31.51.41.4
GA total481291625
GA avg0.51.00.81.12.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonzaCarrarese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%56%69%69%
1.531%19%50%50%
2.513%0%25%19%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonzaCarrarese
HATHAT
Clean sheets437415
Failed to score112415

Penalties

MetricMonzaCarrarese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricMonzaCarrarese
Wins71
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-00-25-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against1245

Model comparison

MetricMonzaCarrarese
Form62%38%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Monza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw4.04 @ Pinnacle
Away6.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Unibet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monza = 1.80 (league 1.44), Carrarese = 0.64 (league 1.09)

Carrarese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monza 0 8.7% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 10.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.1% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.3% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1