Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:30 • Volkswagen Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.61) 1.44 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 23.2% 31.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg 0 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.2% 10.4% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfL WolfsburgSC Freiburg
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack64%71%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfL Wolfsburg SC Freiburg
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%43%29%43%14%29%
Draws29%14%21%43%29%36%
Loses57%43%50%14%57%36%

Form: VfL Wolfsburg: WDDLLLLWLLLDWW • SC Freiburg: LLWWDDDLDWLWLD

League goals

Metric VfL Wolfsburg SC Freiburg
HATHAT
GF total10102014721
GF avg1.41.41.42.01.01.5
GA total1592491423
GA avg2.11.31.71.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfL WolfsburgSC Freiburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%93%79%71%
1.536%43%43%43%
2.529%36%21%21%
3.50%0%7%14%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfL WolfsburgSC Freiburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets011134
Failed to score213033

Penalties

MetricVfL WolfsburgSC Freiburg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricVfL WolfsburgSC Freiburg
Wins12
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-11-36-2
Goals For3343
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricVfL WolfsburgSC Freiburg
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h40%60%
Goals47%53%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away2.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.08 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfL Wolfsburg = 1.74 (league 1.61), SC Freiburg = 1.44 (league 1.45)

SC Freiburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg 0 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.2% 10.4% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.0% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.6% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 31.8%

vtt 36 , vtd1