Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • The SMISA Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.55) 0.64 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.0% 32.5% 21.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
17.8%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Livingston
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 17.8% 11.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 6.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenLivingston
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack46%31%
Defense23%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Livingston
HATHAT
Played87157916
Wins25%14%20%14%0%6%
Draws38%29%33%29%44%38%
Loses38%57%47%57%56%56%

Form: ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDW • Livingston: DWLLDLLDLLDDLLLD

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Livingston
HATHAT
GF total681410717
GF avg0.81.10.91.40.81.1
GA total81422121931
GA avg1.02.01.51.72.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenLivingston
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%69%94%
1.527%40%31%69%
2.57%27%6%25%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenLivingston
HATHAT
Clean sheets303011
Failed to score426145

Penalties

MetricST MirrenLivingston
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricST MirrenLivingston
Wins21
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-1—
Biggest losses0-33-11-24-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenLivingston
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : ST Mirren or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away4.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 1.09 (league 1.55), Livingston = 0.64 (league 1.25)

Livingston
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 17.8% 11.4% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 12.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 6.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 21.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1