Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Darragh Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.77 (league 1.55) 1.04 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.2% 15.0% 11.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lisburn Distillery
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dergview 0 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.1% 6.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDergviewLisburn Distillery
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack93%21%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dergview Lisburn Distillery
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%33%67%0%33%17%
Draws0%33%17%0%33%17%
Loses0%33%17%100%33%67%

Form: Dergview: WDWLWW • Lisburn Distillery: DLLLLW

League goals

Metric Dergview Lisburn Distillery
HATHAT
GF total10515145
GF avg3.31.72.50.31.30.8
GA total358549
GA avg1.01.71.31.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDergviewLisburn Distillery
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%50%100%
1.583%33%33%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDergviewLisburn Distillery
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricDergviewLisburn Distillery
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDergviewLisburn Distillery
Wins10
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-3—1-2
Biggest losses—2-00-21-0
Goals For5312
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricDergviewLisburn Distillery
Form77%23%
Att81%19%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Winner : Dergview

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dergview = 2.77 (league 1.55), Lisburn Distillery = 1.04 (league 1.25)

Lisburn Distillery
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dergview 0 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.1% 6.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.2% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1