Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio La Eragudina
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.36)
2.27 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.4% | 18.5% | 64.2% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.3%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Numancia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Astorga | 0 | 4.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 71% | 100% |
| Defense | 71% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Numancia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 14% | 25% | 20% | 63% | 43% | 53% |
| Draws | 43% | 38% | 40% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
| Loses | 43% | 38% | 40% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
Form: Atlético Astorga: LLLWLLDLWDDDDWD • Numancia: DWLWLDWWWDLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Numancia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Astorga | Numancia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 80% | 87% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 27% | 47% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 27% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Numancia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Astorga | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Numancia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Astorga = 0.95 (league 1.36), Numancia = 2.27 (league 1.05)
| Numancia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Astorga | 0 | 4.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 64.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1