Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:30 • Asito Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.72) 2.66 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 18.2% 42.6%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.6%
2 - 3
5.8%
1 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8%
1 1.6% 4.4% 5.8% 5.2% 3.4% 1.8%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.6% 5.8% 3.9% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.7% 5.0% 4.4% 2.9% 1.6%
4 0.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeraclesHeerenveen
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack100%70%
Defense10%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heracles Heerenveen
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins43%11%25%38%25%31%
Draws14%11%13%38%25%31%
Loses43%78%63%25%50%38%

Form: Heracles: LLLLLLWLLLWWWDDL • Heerenveen: DLLDLWDWWDDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Heracles Heerenveen
HATHAT
GF total18826151126
GF avg2.60.91.61.91.41.6
GA total182341141226
GA avg2.62.62.61.81.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeraclesHeerenveen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%94%81%94%
1.531%75%50%63%
2.525%38%31%6%
3.513%31%0%0%
4.56%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeraclesHeerenveen
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricHeraclesHeerenveen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricHeraclesHeerenveen
Wins32
Draws22
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-21-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-74-00-22-0
Goals For8333
Goals Against7432

Model comparison

MetricHeraclesHeerenveen
Form57%43%
Att61%39%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Heerenveen and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ 10Bet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away2.14 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heracles = 2.26 (league 1.72), Heerenveen = 2.66 (league 1.37)

Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heracles 0 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8%
1 1.6% 4.4% 5.8% 5.2% 3.4% 1.8%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.6% 5.8% 3.9% 2.1%
3 1.4% 3.7% 5.0% 4.4% 2.9% 1.6%
4 0.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%
5 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 42.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod2