Serie B — Italy
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.44) 2.02 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.1% 20.3% 63.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.0%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 5.9% 11.9% 12.0% 8.1% 4.1% 1.7%
1 4.8% 9.6% 9.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 1.9% 3.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvellinoPalermo
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack13%67%
Defense47%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avellino Palermo
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins43%22%31%56%43%50%
Draws29%33%31%33%29%31%
Loses29%44%38%11%29%19%

Form: Avellino: LDWWWDDLLDWLLWDL • Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDWWW

League goals

Metric Avellino Palermo
HATHAT
GF total991816925
GF avg1.31.01.11.81.31.6
GA total1215275611
GA avg1.71.71.70.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvellinoPalermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%81%69%56%
1.531%50%44%6%
2.513%31%19%6%
3.513%6%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvellinoPalermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213617
Failed to score347325

Penalties

MetricAvellinoPalermo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAvellinoPalermo
Wins32
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-45-01-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-31-0
Goals For4453
Goals Against4331

Model comparison

MetricAvellinoPalermo
Form29%71%
Att17%83%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total33.3%66.7%

Advice: Winner : Palermo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away1.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Avellino = 0.81 (league 1.44), Palermo = 2.02 (league 1.09)

Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 5.9% 11.9% 12.0% 8.1% 4.1% 1.7%
1 4.8% 9.6% 9.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 1.9% 3.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.1% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 63.9%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1