Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Armando Picchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.22) 0.68 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.7% 22.6% 13.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 8.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivornoPontedera
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack55%36%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livorno Pontedera
HATHAT
Played98179918
Wins44%13%29%33%11%22%
Draws22%13%18%22%22%22%
Loses33%75%53%44%67%56%

Form: Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDWDW • Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Livorno Pontedera
HATHAT
GF total113149514
GF avg1.20.40.81.00.60.8
GA total111425151631
GA avg1.21.81.51.71.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivornoPontedera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%76%56%89%
1.524%47%22%50%
2.56%24%0%17%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivornoPontedera
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score358448

Penalties

MetricLivornoPontedera
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricLivornoPontedera
Wins11
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-00-1
Biggest losses0-33-00-45-0
Goals For3121
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricLivornoPontedera
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Livorno or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away4.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 1.77 (league 1.22), Pontedera = 0.68 (league 1.06)

Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 8.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.7% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 13.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1