1. Division — Cyprus
Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 17:00 • Alphamega Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.49) 1.78 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.7% 23.2% 56.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEL 0 6.6% 11.7% 10.4% 6.2% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.9% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAELAEK Larnaca
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack100%100%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEL AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%29%43%57%57%57%
Draws29%14%21%29%29%29%
Loses14%57%36%14%14%14%

Form: AEL: WLDLLWLWLWWDWD • AEK Larnaca: WDLWWLWDWWWDWD

League goals

Metric AEL AEK Larnaca
HATHAT
GF total14519121426
GF avg2.00.71.41.72.01.9
GA total714219514
GA avg1.02.01.51.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAELAEK Larnaca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%93%71%
1.550%43%57%14%
2.521%14%21%7%
3.57%14%14%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAELAEK Larnaca
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score156011

Penalties

MetricAELAEK Larnaca
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricAELAEK Larnaca
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-00-4
Biggest losses0-25-02-41-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against2541

Model comparison

MetricAELAEK Larnaca
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AEK Larnaca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away1.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEL = 0.94 (league 1.49), AEK Larnaca = 1.78 (league 1.13)

AEK Larnaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEL 0 6.6% 11.7% 10.4% 6.2% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.9% 5.2% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.7% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 56.1%

vtt 9 , vtd1