Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Umuganda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.16) 1.06 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 31.1% 38.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Gicumbi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rutsiro 0 14.1% 14.9% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.7% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.7% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRutsiroGicumbi
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack36%29%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rutsiro Gicumbi
HATHAT
Played59146713
Wins0%33%21%50%14%31%
Draws40%22%29%33%14%23%
Loses60%44%50%17%71%46%

Form: Rutsiro: LLLLDDDWLLDWWL • Gicumbi: LLWDWDLLDWLWL

League goals

Metric Rutsiro Gicumbi
HATHAT
GF total410148513
GF avg0.81.11.01.30.71.0
GA total713206915
GA avg1.41.41.41.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRutsiroGicumbi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%93%69%77%
1.529%36%31%31%
2.57%14%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRutsiroGicumbi
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score235044

Penalties

MetricRutsiroGicumbi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRutsiroGicumbi
Wins21
Draws31
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-32-10-2
Biggest losses2-33-11-22-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricRutsiroGicumbi
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rutsiro or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ William Hill
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Superbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rutsiro = 0.90 (league 1.16), Gicumbi = 1.06 (league 0.93)

Gicumbi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rutsiro 0 14.1% 14.9% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.7% 13.4% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.7% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 38.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1