Superliga — Albania
Wed, Dec 24 2025 • 15:30 • Elbasan Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.14) 0.49 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 24.4% 11.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Tirana
0 1 2 3 4 5
AF Elbasani 0 12.6% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAF ElbasaniTirana
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack25%25%
Defense81%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AF Elbasani Tirana
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%44%53%0%13%6%
Draws25%33%29%33%38%35%
Loses13%22%18%67%50%59%

Form: AF Elbasani: WDWWDLLWWWWDDDWWL • Tirana: DLDLLWDLLLLDLLLDD

League goals

Metric AF Elbasani Tirana
HATHAT
GF total711184913
GF avg0.91.21.10.41.10.8
GA total3710151631
GA avg0.40.80.61.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAF ElbasaniTirana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%41%59%82%
1.518%12%12%53%
2.56%6%6%24%
3.56%0%0%12%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAF ElbasaniTirana
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410123
Failed to score224527

Penalties

MetricAF ElbasaniTirana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAF ElbasaniTirana
Wins41
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-4—0-3
Biggest losses1-23-21-46-2
Goals For2413
Goals Against2346

Model comparison

MetricAF ElbasaniTirana
Form80%20%
Att50%50%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total71.0%29.0%

Advice: Double chance : AF Elbasani or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AF Elbasani = 1.58 (league 1.14), Tirana = 0.49 (league 0.90)

Tirana
0 1 2 3 4 5
AF Elbasani 0 12.6% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 11.1%

vtt 22 , vtd1