Serie A — Italy
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Via del Mare
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.24) 0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 34.6% 38.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
18.0%
1 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 19.5% 18.0% 8.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.9% 12.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLecceComo
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack20%47%
Defense67%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lecce Como
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins25%29%27%57%25%40%
Draws38%14%27%43%38%40%
Loses38%57%47%0%38%20%

Form: Lecce: DLLLDWDLLWDLWLW • Como: WLDWDDWDWDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Lecce Como
HATHAT
GF total651111819
GF avg0.80.70.71.61.01.3
GA total811193912
GA avg1.01.61.30.41.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLecceComo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%60%60%60%
1.520%47%40%7%
2.50%13%13%7%
3.50%7%7%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLecceComo
HATHAT
Clean sheets336426
Failed to score437156

Penalties

MetricLecceComo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLecceComo
Wins12
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-11-5
Biggest losses0-24-1—4-0
Goals For2235
Goals Against2414

Model comparison

MetricLecceComo
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h38%62%
Goals30%70%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Como and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.58 @ 1xBet
Away1.87 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.76 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lecce = 0.71 (league 1.24), Como = 0.92 (league 1.09)

Como
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lecce 0 19.5% 18.0% 8.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.9% 12.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 38.6%

Vtot 14 , Vtod4