Serie B — Italy
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.43) 1.45 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.9% 25.8% 41.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 6.9% 10.0% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.2% 7.5% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCatanzaroCesena
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack85%46%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catanzaro Cesena
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins44%38%41%50%56%53%
Draws44%38%41%38%11%24%
Loses11%25%18%13%33%24%

Form: Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLWWWLDWWWW • Cesena: WDWWDLLWWWLWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Catanzaro Cesena
HATHAT
GF total141024131225
GF avg1.61.31.41.61.31.5
GA total1181981018
GA avg1.21.01.11.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCatanzaroCesena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%76%88%82%
1.547%29%41%18%
2.518%6%18%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCatanzaroCesena
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricCatanzaroCesena
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCatanzaroCesena
Wins33
Draws61
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-12-11-23-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricCatanzaroCesena
Form62%38%
Att65%35%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h67%33%
Goals56%44%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Catanzaro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away3.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ SBO
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catanzaro = 1.23 (league 1.43), Cesena = 1.45 (league 1.08)

Cesena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 6.9% 10.0% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.2% 7.5% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 41.8%

Vtot 21 , Vtod1