Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • The SMISA Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.55) 0.94 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 30.5% 30.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 13.2% 12.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.5% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.8% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenKilmarnock
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack70%30%
Defense30%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Kilmarnock
HATHAT
Played971610818
Wins33%14%25%10%13%11%
Draws33%29%31%30%38%33%
Loses33%57%44%60%50%56%

Form: ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWW • Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLDDLLL

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Kilmarnock
HATHAT
GF total781571017
GF avg0.81.10.90.71.30.9
GA total81422161733
GA avg0.92.01.41.62.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenKilmarnock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%67%83%
1.525%38%28%61%
2.56%25%0%33%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenKilmarnock
HATHAT
Clean sheets404213
Failed to score426516

Penalties

MetricST MirrenKilmarnock
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricST MirrenKilmarnock
Wins22
Draws34
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-34-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenKilmarnock
Form78%22%
Att70%30%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : ST Mirren or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away5.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Pinnacle
No1.93 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 1.09 (league 1.55), Kilmarnock = 0.94 (league 1.24)

Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 13.2% 12.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.5% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.8% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 30.9%

Vtot 26 , Vtod1