Serie B — Italy
Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 16:15 • Stadio Renzo Barbera
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.44) 0.49 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.2% 32.5% 16.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.3%
0 - 0
19.8%
2 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 19.8% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.5% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPalermoPadova
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack100%42%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Palermo Padova
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins56%38%47%13%44%29%
Draws33%38%35%63%22%41%
Loses11%25%18%25%33%29%

Form: Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDWWWD • Padova: LDLWWDLWDDDLLWDWD

League goals

Metric Palermo Padova
HATHAT
GF total1611279817
GF avg1.81.41.61.10.91.0
GA total581311819
GA avg0.61.00.81.40.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePalermoPadova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%59%76%76%
1.547%12%24%29%
2.518%6%0%6%
3.512%0%0%0%
4.512%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPalermoPadova
HATHAT
Clean sheets617044
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricPalermoPadova
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricPalermoPadova
Wins32
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-11-2
Biggest losses0-31-00-23-1
Goals For5322
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricPalermoPadova
Form58%42%
Att71%29%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h91%9%
Goals75%25%
Total70.2%29.8%

Advice: Double chance : Palermo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.15 @ 188Bet
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Palermo = 1.12 (league 1.44), Padova = 0.49 (league 1.09)

Padova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Palermo 0 19.8% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.3% 11.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.5% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.2% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1