Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 16:30 •
Stade Amahoro
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.12)
0.20 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.3% | 21.0% | 4.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.7%
2 - 0
21.5%
0 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Bugesera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| APR | 0 | 15.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.5% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | APR | Bugesera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 45% | 36% |
| Defense | 82% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | APR | Bugesera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 83% | 17% | 50% | 43% | 0% | 21% |
| Draws | 17% | 67% | 42% | 14% | 57% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 8% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
Form: APR: WWDDWLWDWDDW • Bugesera: WDDDLLDLWLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | APR | Bugesera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | APR | Bugesera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 57% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 8% | 14% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | APR | Bugesera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | APR | Bugesera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | APR | Bugesera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | APR | Bugesera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 75.5% | 24.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : APR or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): APR = 1.67 (league 1.12), Bugesera = 0.20 (league 0.90)
| Bugesera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| APR | 0 | 15.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.5% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.3% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 4.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1