Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.37) 1.47 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 23.7% 34.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 4.5% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.3% 10.8% 7.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstorilAlverca
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack73%36%
Defense0%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estoril Alverca
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%14%27%38%29%33%
Draws38%29%33%13%14%13%
Loses25%57%40%50%57%53%

Form: Estoril: DLDLWLLDDWWLDLW • Alverca: LLDLWLWWLLDWWLL

League goals

Metric Estoril Alverca
HATHAT
GF total1310236915
GF avg1.61.41.50.81.31.0
GA total111425131023
GA avg1.42.01.71.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstorilAlverca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%87%67%73%
1.547%47%27%53%
2.527%27%7%20%
3.513%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstorilAlverca
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricEstorilAlverca
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricEstorilAlverca
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-42-01-3
Biggest losses0-14-00-42-0
Goals For4423
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricEstorilAlverca
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alverca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 1xBet
Draw3.51 @ 1xBet
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.78 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estoril = 1.63 (league 1.37), Alverca = 1.47 (league 1.24)

Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 4.5% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.3% 10.8% 7.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 34.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod5