Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Clandeboye Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.58) 1.87 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 22.6% 51.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Warrenpoint Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ards 0 4.5% 8.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.5% 10.3% 9.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.4% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack39%56%
Defense44%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ards Warrenpoint Town
HATHAT
Played9112091019
Wins33%27%30%56%20%37%
Draws11%18%15%22%30%26%
Loses56%55%55%22%50%37%

Form: Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLLLLLLLDW • Warrenpoint Town: WLLLLWDLLWDDDWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Ards Warrenpoint Town
HATHAT
GF total121325171330
GF avg1.31.21.31.91.31.6
GA total191433111526
GA avg2.11.31.71.21.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArdsWarrenpoint Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%74%74%
1.535%40%47%32%
2.515%25%26%21%
3.55%10%11%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score156145

Penalties

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
Wins22
Draws13
Losses84

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-44-10-4
Biggest losses1-43-13-53-0
Goals For3444
Goals Against4353

Model comparison

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
Form29%71%
Att41%59%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h40%60%
Goals47%53%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Warrenpoint Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Superbet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ards = 1.23 (league 1.58), Warrenpoint Town = 1.87 (league 1.46)

Warrenpoint Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ards 0 4.5% 8.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.5% 10.3% 9.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.4% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
3 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 51.1%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1