League Two — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.38) 1.35 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 24.8% 33.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 5.7% 7.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.6% 7.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.8% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldNotts County
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack60%47%
Defense53%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Notts County
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins50%36%43%55%50%52%
Draws40%36%38%27%20%24%
Loses10%27%19%18%30%24%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWW • Notts County: DLLWDWWLWLWWDWWDLWWWD

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Notts County
HATHAT
GF total211637221335
GF avg2.11.51.82.01.31.7
GA total121931121022
GA avg1.21.71.51.11.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldNotts County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%76%90%67%
1.552%33%48%33%
2.524%19%19%5%
3.55%10%10%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldNotts County
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldNotts County
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldNotts County
Wins33
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-26-21-32-1
Goals For4342
Goals Against3632

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldNotts County
Form44%56%
Att56%44%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Bet365
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.52 (league 1.38), Notts County = 1.35 (league 1.16)

Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 5.7% 7.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.6% 7.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.8% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1