League Two — England
Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Stadium MK
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.40) 1.70 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 22.4% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 3.2% 5.4% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.6% 9.4% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.9% 4.9% 4.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack73%53%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins50%45%48%55%60%57%
Draws20%36%29%27%10%19%
Loses30%18%24%18%30%24%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWWWLDWDWLDW • Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWWLDDWDDWLWW

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total192342171835
GF avg1.92.12.01.51.81.7
GA total111324121325
GA avg1.11.21.11.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%71%81%71%
1.567%33%62%33%
2.524%10%24%10%
3.514%0%0%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score202314

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Wins44
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-10-3
Biggest losses2-33-20-24-0
Goals For5433
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Form44%56%
Att58%42%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h71%29%
Goals50%50%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betfair
Draw3.83 @ Pinnacle
Away3.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 1.76 (league 1.40), Swindon Town = 1.70 (league 1.17)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 3.2% 5.4% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.6% 9.4% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.9% 4.9% 4.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 36.7%

Vtot 19 , Vtod7