Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.42) 2.17 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.8% 15.5% 77.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
18.9%
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 3
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 8.1% 17.4% 18.9% 13.7% 7.4% 3.2%
1 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
2 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAroucaGIL Vicente
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack26%21%
Defense42%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arouca GIL Vicente
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins25%14%20%57%38%47%
Draws25%29%27%14%50%33%
Loses50%57%53%29%13%20%

Form: Arouca: WLDDLWLDLLLLLWD • GIL Vicente: WLDWWWLWWWDLDDD

League goals

Metric Arouca GIL Vicente
HATHAT
GF total871591019
GF avg1.01.01.01.31.31.3
GA total172037549
GA avg2.12.92.50.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAroucaGIL Vicente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%87%73%40%
1.527%60%40%20%
2.520%47%7%0%
3.50%33%7%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAroucaGIL Vicente
HATHAT
Clean sheets112459
Failed to score437224

Penalties

MetricAroucaGIL Vicente
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAroucaGIL Vicente
Wins13
Draws21
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-00-4
Biggest losses0-46-00-22-1
Goals For3324
Goals Against4622

Model comparison

MetricAroucaGIL Vicente
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h64%36%
Goals62%38%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : Arouca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away1.96 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arouca = 0.35 (league 1.42), GIL Vicente = 2.17 (league 1.26)

GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 8.1% 17.4% 18.9% 13.7% 7.4% 3.2%
1 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
2 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.8% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 77.4%

vtt 25 , vtd1