Serie A — Italy
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • Stadio Olimpico
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.23) 0.73 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 27.7% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 12.1% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.2% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 8.4% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS RomaGenoa
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack50%80%
Defense50%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Roma Genoa
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins63%63%63%11%29%19%
Draws0%0%0%33%29%31%
Loses38%38%38%56%43%50%

Form: AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWL • Genoa: DLDLLLDLLWDDWWLL

League goals

Metric AS Roma Genoa
HATHAT
GF total891751116
GF avg1.01.11.10.61.61.0
GA total4610121224
GA avg0.50.80.61.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS RomaGenoa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%56%63%88%
1.531%6%31%50%
2.56%0%6%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS RomaGenoa
HATHAT
Clean sheets437202
Failed to score325606

Penalties

MetricAS RomaGenoa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAS RomaGenoa
Wins32
Draws02
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-11-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-32-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricAS RomaGenoa
Form46%54%
Att38%62%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals54%46%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : AS Roma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ 1xBet
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Roma = 1.38 (league 1.23), Genoa = 0.73 (league 1.09)

Genoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Roma 0 12.1% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.2% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 8.4% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 19.8%

Vtot 33 , Vtod2