League Two — England
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.38) 0.76 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.3% 24.1% 16.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cambridge United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 8.8% 6.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.2% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldCambridge United
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Cambridge United
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins55%36%45%64%18%41%
Draws36%36%36%27%45%36%
Loses9%27%18%9%36%23%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLWDDDWDLDWWW • Cambridge United: WLDWLWLDWDWLWLDDWWDDWD

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Cambridge United
HATHAT
GF total23163916925
GF avg2.11.51.81.50.81.1
GA total12193171219
GA avg1.11.71.40.61.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldCambridge United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%73%68%68%
1.555%32%41%14%
2.523%18%5%5%
3.55%9%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldCambridge United
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score011257

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldCambridge United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldCambridge United
Wins32
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-26-20-12-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against3613

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldCambridge United
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h13%88%
Goals40%60%
Total46.3%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cambridge United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.67 (league 1.38), Cambridge United = 0.76 (league 1.16)

Cambridge United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 8.8% 6.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.2% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.3% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 16.8%

Vtot 27 , Vtod13