Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.37) 1.52 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.8% 25.9% 51.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 9.0% 13.7% 10.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.1% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 3.5% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallBristol City
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack20%40%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Bristol City
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins50%36%43%42%45%43%
Draws17%36%26%25%27%26%
Loses33%27%30%33%27%30%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLLD • Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWWLLDWLWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Millwall Bristol City
HATHAT
GF total131225181432
GF avg1.11.11.11.51.31.4
GA total151631131225
GA avg1.31.51.31.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallBristol City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%65%74%65%
1.526%39%35%26%
2.59%22%22%9%
3.50%9%9%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallBristol City
HATHAT
Clean sheets628448
Failed to score426336

Penalties

MetricMillwallBristol City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMillwallBristol City
Wins43
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-01-4
Biggest losses0-44-01-35-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricMillwallBristol City
Form42%58%
Att33%67%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bristol City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ SBO
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 0.88 (league 1.37), Bristol City = 1.52 (league 1.11)

Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 9.0% 13.7% 10.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.1% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 3.5% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.8% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 51.8%

Vtot 33 , Vtod1