Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:30 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.53) 1.39 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.9% 16.7% 17.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
3 - 1
7.7%
1 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.0% 8.4% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.8% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaBournemouth
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack60%60%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Bournemouth
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%44%44%44%11%28%
Draws22%33%28%44%33%39%
Loses33%22%28%11%56%33%

Form: Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWDL • Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDLLDDDL

League goals

Metric Chelsea Bournemouth
HATHAT
GF total131730111627
GF avg1.41.91.71.21.81.5
GA total9101962733
GA avg1.01.11.10.73.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaBournemouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%56%78%72%
1.550%39%50%50%
2.517%11%17%39%
3.56%0%6%22%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaBournemouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets448415
Failed to score112314

Penalties

MetricChelseaBournemouth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricChelseaBournemouth
Wins33
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-10-1
Biggest losses1-33-10-14-0
Goals For3534
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricChelseaBournemouth
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total62.5%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ 188Bet
Away5.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.39 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 2.74 (league 1.53), Bournemouth = 1.39 (league 1.29)

Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.0% 8.4% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.5% 7.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.8% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 17.1%

Vtot 58 , Vtod4