Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 • The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.58) 1.10 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.8% 30.6% 39.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Newington Youth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Institute 0 13.4% 14.7% 8.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInstituteNewington Youth
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack40%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Institute Newington Youth
HATHAT
Played101121101020
Wins40%18%29%60%20%40%
Draws30%18%24%10%40%25%
Loses30%64%48%30%40%35%

Form: Institute: LDWLWDDLLLWDWWLWLDLLL • Newington Youth: DLLLWDWWWLLWDWLDDWLW

League goals

Metric Institute Newington Youth
HATHAT
GF total91322251540
GF avg0.91.21.02.51.52.0
GA total111930171633
GA avg1.11.71.41.71.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInstituteNewington Youth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%76%80%75%
1.529%48%65%50%
2.510%10%30%30%
3.50%10%20%5%
4.50%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInstituteNewington Youth
HATHAT
Clean sheets415235
Failed to score347134

Penalties

MetricInstituteNewington Youth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricInstituteNewington Youth
Wins23
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-35-12-4
Biggest losses0-44-11-53-2
Goals For2354
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricInstituteNewington Youth
Form11%89%
Att25%75%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total31.3%68.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Newington Youth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Superbet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Institute = 0.91 (league 1.58), Newington Youth = 1.10 (league 1.51)

Newington Youth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Institute 0 13.4% 14.7% 8.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 39.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1