League One — England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Lamex Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.44) 0.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 27.2% 20.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 11.0% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.3% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStevenagePlymouth
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack36%57%
Defense71%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stevenage Plymouth
HATHAT
Played91120111122
Wins56%45%50%27%45%36%
Draws33%27%30%9%0%5%
Loses11%27%20%64%55%59%

Form: Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDD • Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLLWLLWWWL

League goals

Metric Stevenage Plymouth
HATHAT
GF total111324101727
GF avg1.21.21.20.91.51.2
GA total51015181937
GA avg0.60.90.81.61.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStevenagePlymouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%60%64%77%
1.540%15%23%55%
2.515%0%18%27%
3.50%0%14%9%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStevenagePlymouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets538235
Failed to score257448

Penalties

MetricStevenagePlymouth
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricStevenagePlymouth
Wins43
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-21-5
Biggest losses0-11-01-44-0
Goals For2345
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricStevenagePlymouth
Form40%60%
Att38%62%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%100%
Goals31%69%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Plymouth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stevenage = 1.42 (league 1.44), Plymouth = 0.79 (league 1.14)

Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stevenage 0 11.0% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.3% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 20.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1