Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • Tynecastle Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.55) 0.45 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.2% 10.2% 3.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.0%
3 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Livingston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeart Of MidlothianLivingston
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack64%36%
Defense57%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Livingston
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins67%60%63%11%0%5%
Draws33%20%26%22%40%32%
Loses0%20%11%67%60%63%

Form: Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWWWWWDWDLDDWWWL • Livingston: DWLLDLLDLLDDLLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Livingston
HATHAT
GF total20183813720
GF avg2.21.82.01.40.71.1
GA total71017192039
GA avg0.81.00.92.12.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeart Of MidlothianLivingston
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%58%68%95%
1.574%21%32%68%
2.532%11%5%32%
3.55%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeart Of MidlothianLivingston
HATHAT
Clean sheets448011
Failed to score022156

Penalties

MetricHeart Of MidlothianLivingston
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricHeart Of MidlothianLivingston
Wins61
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-1—
Biggest losses—3-22-44-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricHeart Of MidlothianLivingston
Form91%9%
Att64%36%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total78.5%21.5%

Advice: Winner : Heart Of Midlothian

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ 10Bet
Draw5.23 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heart Of Midlothian = 2.85 (league 1.55), Livingston = 0.45 (league 1.24)

Livingston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.5% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 6.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 6.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 3.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1