Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • Rugby Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.54) 1.61 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.2% 24.1% 64.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.5%
0 - 2
15.7%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hibernian
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 12.1% 19.5% 15.7% 8.4% 3.4% 1.1%
1 6.1% 9.8% 7.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 1.5% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKilmarnockHibernian
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack13%60%
Defense47%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kilmarnock Hibernian
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins10%10%10%50%30%40%
Draws30%40%35%30%40%35%
Loses60%50%55%20%30%25%

Form: Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLDDLLLDL • Hibernian: WDDDDDLWWLDWWLLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Kilmarnock Hibernian
HATHAT
GF total71118211233
GF avg0.71.10.92.11.21.7
GA total161935111122
GA avg1.61.91.81.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKilmarnockHibernian
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%80%75%70%
1.525%60%60%35%
2.50%30%25%5%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKilmarnockHibernian
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score527145

Penalties

MetricKilmarnockHibernian
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricKilmarnockHibernian
Wins22
Draws45
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-34-01-22-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricKilmarnockHibernian
Form9%91%
Att18%82%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h36%64%
Goals46%54%
Total27.7%72.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hibernian

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away1.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kilmarnock = 0.50 (league 1.54), Hibernian = 1.61 (league 1.19)

Hibernian
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 12.1% 19.5% 15.7% 8.4% 3.4% 1.1%
1 6.1% 9.8% 7.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 1.5% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.2% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 64.1%

vtt 6 , vtd1