Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • The Lamb Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.50) 1.46 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 23.6% 33.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Gateshead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 4.4% 6.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.7% 7.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthGateshead
Played55
Form20%0%
Attack63%38%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 315 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Gateshead
HATHAT
Played121325121224
Wins33%38%36%8%33%21%
Draws25%8%16%17%17%17%
Loses42%54%48%75%50%63%

Form: Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLWLLLWLL • Gateshead: LWLWWDLLDLLWWLDDLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Tamworth Gateshead
HATHAT
GF total121830101828
GF avg1.01.41.20.81.51.2
GA total143145283058
GA avg1.22.41.82.32.52.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthGateshead
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%88%54%92%
1.532%48%38%79%
2.54%20%13%50%
3.50%12%8%17%
4.50%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthGateshead
HATHAT
Clean sheets303022
Failed to score2246511

Penalties

MetricTamworthGateshead
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTamworthGateshead
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-32-12-5
Biggest losses1-37-10-35-0
Goals For2335
Goals Against3735

Model comparison

MetricTamworthGateshead
Form100%0%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total48.6%51.6%

Advice: Double chance : Tamworth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ Unibet
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Betano
No2.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 1.67 (league 1.50), Gateshead = 1.46 (league 1.24)

Gateshead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 4.4% 6.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.7% 7.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 33.3%

vtt 5 , vtd1