Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Tullo Morgagni
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.23) 1.93 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.8% 21.9% 56.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forli 0 5.1% 9.9% 9.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.8% 5.3% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricForliArezzo
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack70%80%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Forli Arezzo
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins44%30%37%78%60%68%
Draws33%0%16%11%30%21%
Loses22%70%47%11%10%11%

Form: Forli: LWWLLWLWDWDWLLLDLWL • Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDD

League goals

Metric Forli Arezzo
HATHAT
GF total141024171936
GF avg1.61.01.31.91.91.9
GA total1018287815
GA avg1.11.81.50.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineForliArezzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%84%89%53%
1.537%37%47%21%
2.516%21%37%5%
3.55%5%11%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricForliArezzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213459
Failed to score156112

Penalties

MetricForliArezzo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricForliArezzo
Wins25
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-25-10-3
Biggest losses2-34-00-12-1
Goals For4354
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricForliArezzo
Form33%67%
Att47%53%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total36.5%63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arezzo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away1.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Forli = 1.04 (league 1.23), Arezzo = 1.93 (league 1.08)

Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forli 0 5.1% 9.9% 9.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
1 5.3% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.8% 5.3% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 56.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1