La Liga — Spain
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 17:30 • Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.45) 0.83 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 24.9% 19.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 8.7% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.0% 11.6% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricElcheVillarreal
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack63%56%
Defense63%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Elche Villarreal
HATHAT
Played98179716
Wins56%0%29%78%57%69%
Draws44%38%41%11%14%13%
Loses0%63%29%11%29%19%

Form: Elche: DDWDWDWLDLLDDLWLW • Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Elche Villarreal
HATHAT
GF total16723201131
GF avg1.80.91.42.21.61.9
GA total515206915
GA avg0.61.91.20.71.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineElcheVillarreal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%71%88%56%
1.535%29%69%31%
2.512%18%19%6%
3.56%0%13%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricElcheVillarreal
HATHAT
Clean sheets505527
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricElcheVillarreal
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricElcheVillarreal
Wins16
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—5-00-2
Biggest losses—3-10-23-1
Goals For4253
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricElcheVillarreal
Form37%63%
Att53%47%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals39%61%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Villarreal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ 188Bet
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away2.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.09 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Elche = 1.61 (league 1.45), Villarreal = 0.83 (league 1.15)

Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 8.7% 7.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.0% 11.6% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 19.3%

vtt 9 , vtd1