Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Armand Cesari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.43) 2.02 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 21.3% 56.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
0 - 2
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Grenoble
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 4.3% 8.6% 8.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
1 4.8% 9.8% 9.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.7% 5.5% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBastiaGrenoble
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack33%67%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bastia Grenoble
HATHAT
Played79169817
Wins14%0%6%33%25%29%
Draws29%33%31%56%13%35%
Loses57%67%63%11%63%35%

Form: Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLLD • Grenoble: LDLDWLLDWDLDWWLWD

League goals

Metric Bastia Grenoble
HATHAT
GF total62881119
GF avg0.90.20.50.91.41.1
GA total12102271421
GA avg1.71.11.40.81.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBastiaGrenoble
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%75%76%76%
1.513%44%18%35%
2.50%19%12%12%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBastiaGrenoble
HATHAT
Clean sheets224404
Failed to score2810224

Penalties

MetricBastiaGrenoble
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBastiaGrenoble
Wins12
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-12-4
Biggest losses1-32-01-33-1
Goals For2224
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricBastiaGrenoble
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total38.2%61.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Grenoble

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bastia = 1.13 (league 1.43), Grenoble = 2.02 (league 1.18)

Grenoble
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 4.3% 8.6% 8.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
1 4.8% 9.8% 9.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.7% 5.5% 5.6% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 56.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1