Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Marie-Marvingt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.43) 0.71 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.2% 35.2% 27.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.3%
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Saint Etienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Mans 0 20.3% 14.5% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe MansSaint Etienne
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack50%67%
Defense83%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Mans Saint Etienne
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins56%38%47%50%56%53%
Draws22%50%35%25%11%18%
Loses22%13%18%25%33%29%

Form: Le Mans: DLWLLDWDDWWDWDWWW • Saint Etienne: DWWDWWWLWLLWLWWLD

League goals

Metric Le Mans Saint Etienne
HATHAT
GF total81422221335
GF avg0.91.81.32.81.42.1
GA total51217121325
GA avg0.61.51.01.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe MansSaint Etienne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%65%88%71%
1.535%29%65%47%
2.512%6%29%24%
3.50%0%12%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe MansSaint Etienne
HATHAT
Clean sheets606235
Failed to score213022

Penalties

MetricLe MansSaint Etienne
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricLe MansSaint Etienne
Wins23
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-36-00-2
Biggest losses1-21-02-34-0
Goals For2363
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricLe MansSaint Etienne
Form65%35%
Att43%57%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total61.6%38.4%

Advice: Double chance : Le Mans or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.11 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Le Mans = 0.88 (league 1.43), Saint Etienne = 0.71 (league 1.18)

Saint Etienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Mans 0 20.3% 14.5% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.9% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 27.6%

vtt 6 , vtd1