Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio de São Lúis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.30) 1.91 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 22.2% 47.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 3.5% 6.6% 6.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.7% 7.0% 6.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFarensePortimonense
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack33%44%
Defense22%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Farense Portimonense
HATHAT
Played79168715
Wins29%33%31%13%43%27%
Draws14%44%31%38%0%20%
Loses57%22%38%50%57%53%

Form: Farense: DLWLWLWDWDDLWLLD • Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Farense Portimonense
HATHAT
GF total691571017
GF avg0.91.00.90.91.41.1
GA total11920111526
GA avg1.61.01.31.42.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFarensePortimonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%80%93%
1.531%38%27%47%
2.56%25%7%20%
3.56%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFarensePortimonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets246011
Failed to score538213

Penalties

MetricFarensePortimonense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFarensePortimonense
Wins11
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-12-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-24-1
Goals For4223
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricFarensePortimonense
Form57%43%
Att43%57%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total45.5%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Portimonense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away4.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Farense = 1.45 (league 1.30), Portimonense = 1.91 (league 1.17)

Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 3.5% 6.6% 6.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.8% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.7% 7.0% 6.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 47.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1