Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 10:40 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.44) 0.74 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 33.6% 26.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.1%
1 - 0
17.6%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 18.1% 13.3% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack65%47%
Defense71%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins60%86%75%67%50%58%
Draws20%0%8%17%17%17%
Loses20%14%17%17%33%25%

Form: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: WWLWWWWDWWLW • Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: DDWWLLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
HATHAT
GF total10162611718
GF avg2.02.32.21.81.21.5
GA total4487411
GA avg0.80.60.71.20.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%58%83%42%
1.558%8%50%25%
2.550%0%17%8%
3.517%0%0%8%
4.58%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Wins44
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-52-00-3
Biggest losses0-11-03-52-1
Goals For3533
Goals Against2152

Model comparison

MetricMaccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Ironi Karmiel
Form45%55%
Att58%42%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.3%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.42 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Superbet
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maccabi Ahi Nazareth = 0.97 (league 1.44), Hapoel Ironi Karmiel = 0.74 (league 1.30)

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0 18.1% 13.3% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.6% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 26.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1