Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 17:30 •
King Abdullah Sports City
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.65)
1.95 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.9% | 20.1% | 67.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
0 - 2
14.6%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Al-Nassr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 7.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 39% | 78% |
| Defense | 78% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 50% | 60% | 55% | 100% | 80% | 91% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 36% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Al-Ahli Jeddah: WDDWDWDWWLW • Al-Nassr: WWWWWWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 14 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 45% | 100% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 18% | 100% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 55% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 36% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 35.7% | 64.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Nassr
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al-Ahli Jeddah = 0.62 (league 1.65), Al-Nassr = 1.95 (league 1.44)
| Al-Nassr | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0 | 7.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 67.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1