Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 19:30 • Brentford Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.53) 0.39 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.2% 26.5% 9.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
2 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 16.1% 6.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 9.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrentfordSunderland
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack85%23%
Defense69%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brentford Sunderland
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins60%30%45%50%20%35%
Draws30%0%15%50%40%45%
Loses10%70%40%0%40%20%

Form: Brentford: LWLDLWLWWLWLWLLDWWDW • Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDLWDDDD

League goals

Metric Brentford Sunderland
HATHAT
GF total20123216521
GF avg2.01.21.61.60.51.1
GA total10182881119
GA avg1.01.81.40.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrentfordSunderland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%80%65%65%
1.545%50%30%25%
2.530%10%10%5%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrentfordSunderland
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score235167

Penalties

MetricBrentfordSunderland
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricBrentfordSunderland
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-43-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-1—3-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricBrentfordSunderland
Form61%39%
Att79%21%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Brentford or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 1xBet
Draw3.59 @ 1xBet
Away4.90 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brentford = 1.43 (league 1.53), Sunderland = 0.39 (league 1.28)

Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 16.1% 6.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 9.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.9% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 9.9%

vtt 11 , vtd1