Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 19:45 • Home of the Set Fare Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.54) 1.51 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.1% 22.6% 31.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livingston 0 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.5% 9.8% 7.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
Played55
Form7%7%
Attack50%13%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livingston ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins10%0%5%27%10%19%
Draws30%36%33%36%20%29%
Loses60%64%62%36%70%52%

Form: Livingston: DWLLDLLDLLDDLLLDLLLLD • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLLLL

League goals

Metric Livingston ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total147217916
GF avg1.40.61.00.60.90.8
GA total202141102030
GA avg2.01.92.00.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivingstonST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%95%52%76%
1.529%62%19%48%
2.55%29%5%19%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets011505
Failed to score1676410

Penalties

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
Wins12
Draws23
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses2-44-00-33-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
Form50%50%
Att80%20%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total49.3%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or ST Mirren

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Dafabet
Away2.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ SBO
Under 2.51.83 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Livingston = 1.82 (league 1.54), ST Mirren = 1.51 (league 1.19)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livingston 0 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.5% 9.8% 7.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 31.7%

vtt 7 , vtd1