Mon, Jan 5 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Nereo Rocco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.29) 0.92 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.9% 30.3% 29.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Triestina 0 13.1% 12.0% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTriestinaAlcione
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack80%20%
Defense40%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Triestina Alcione
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins44%10%26%44%40%42%
Draws44%20%32%11%20%16%
Loses11%70%42%44%40%42%

Form: Triestina: LDDWWLWDLDLLLDDWLWL • Alcione: WLWDDWWLWLDWWLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Triestina Alcione
HATHAT
GF total164208917
GF avg1.80.41.10.90.90.9
GA total912216814
GA avg1.01.21.10.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTriestinaAlcione
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%84%63%63%
1.526%21%21%11%
2.511%5%5%0%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTriestinaAlcione
HATHAT
Clean sheets123437
Failed to score178347

Penalties

MetricTriestinaAlcione
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricTriestinaAlcione
Wins22
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-13-11-22-0
Goals For5223
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricTriestinaAlcione
Form70%30%
Att80%20%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Triestina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away3.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Triestina = 1.12 (league 1.29), Alcione = 0.92 (league 0.98)

Alcione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Triestina 0 13.1% 12.0% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.9% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 29.6%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1