Ligue 2 — France
Mon, Jan 5 2026 • 19:45 • Stade de la Mosson
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.43) 1.20 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 29.5% 42.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dunkerque
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montpellier 0 12.2% 14.5% 8.7% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.0% 6.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontpellierDunkerque
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack40%70%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montpellier Dunkerque
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins44%38%41%44%38%41%
Draws22%25%24%33%38%35%
Loses33%38%35%22%25%24%

Form: Montpellier: DWLDLWLWLWWDWWLLD • Dunkerque: DDLWLDLWDLWWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Montpellier Dunkerque
HATHAT
GF total12618181129
GF avg1.30.81.12.01.41.7
GA total971611819
GA avg1.00.90.91.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontpellierDunkerque
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%82%71%
1.524%18%53%35%
2.56%6%18%6%
3.56%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontpellierDunkerque
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricMontpellierDunkerque
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMontpellierDunkerque
Wins23
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-26-20-3
Biggest losses1-32-01-32-1
Goals For4263
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricMontpellierDunkerque
Form39%61%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Montpellier or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montpellier = 0.91 (league 1.43), Dunkerque = 1.20 (league 1.17)

Dunkerque
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montpellier 0 12.2% 14.5% 8.7% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.2% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.0% 6.0% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 42.4%

vtt 10 , vtd1