Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio San Martì
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.59) 0.73 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.1% 42.7% 40.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.0%
0 - 1
24.2%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mallorca II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mercadal 0 33.0% 24.2% 8.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMercadalMallorca II
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack22%61%
Defense61%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.40 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mercadal Mallorca II
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%38%47%100%71%87%
Draws14%13%13%0%14%7%
Loses29%50%40%0%14%7%

Form: Mercadal: WLWDWLWWWLLDWLL • Mallorca II: WWLWDWWWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Mercadal Mallorca II
HATHAT
GF total7815321547
GF avg1.01.01.04.02.13.1
GA total31114347
GA avg0.41.40.90.40.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMercadalMallorca II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%47%93%33%
1.533%27%73%13%
2.50%13%53%0%
3.50%7%40%0%
4.50%0%27%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMercadalMallorca II
HATHAT
Clean sheets4486410
Failed to score325011

Penalties

MetricMercadalMallorca II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMercadalMallorca II
Wins32
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-29-00-5
Biggest losses0-14-1—2-0
Goals For2295
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricMercadalMallorca II
Form21%79%
Att27%73%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total25.7%74.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mallorca II and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.90 @ Betano
Draw4.45 @ Betano
Away1.36 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mercadal = 0.38 (league 1.59), Mallorca II = 0.73 (league 1.15)

Mallorca II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mercadal 0 33.0% 24.2% 8.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.4% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 42.7% · Away win 40.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1